Getting Started
This guide will walk you through setting up your first simulation in Edge Engine.
Your Trading Stats
The foundation of every simulation is your trading statistics. You’ll need:
- Win Rate — the percentage of trades that are winners
- Average Win — your average winning trade, measured in R-multiples
- Average Loss — your average losing trade, measured in R-multiples
What’s an R-multiple? R is your risk per trade. If you risk $100 and make $200, that’s a 2R win. If you risk $100 and lose $80, that’s a 0.8R loss. Measuring in R-multiples lets you analyze your strategy independent of position size.
Expectancy
Your expectancy is the average R you earn per trade, combining your win rate and your average win and loss:
Expectancy = (Win Rate × Avg Win) − (Loss Rate × Avg Loss)
A positive expectancy means your edge makes money on average. A negative expectancy means the opposite: no amount of position sizing or risk management will make a losing expectancy profitable over time. Edge Engine surfaces your expectancy in the Performance Stats section after a simulation runs.
Running a Simulation
- Enter your trading stats in the Simulation section of the sidebar
- Set the number of trades to simulate and your daily trade range
- Click Run Simulation
- Explore the results in the tabs on the right
Simulation count and run time: The default is 25,000 simulations, which completes almost instantly. You can increase this up to 100,000 for tighter percentile estimates — higher counts and longer trade sequences both increase computation time, though all simulations run in a background thread so the interface stays responsive.
Understanding the Results
After running a simulation, you’ll see several tabs of analysis:
- Equity — shows the range of equity curves across all simulations, from the 5th to the 95th percentile
- Drawdown — visualizes the drawdown distribution and how long drawdown episodes typically last
- Streaks — the distribution of winning and losing streak lengths, plus post-streak win rate analysis
- Performance — detailed statistics including return percentiles, Kelly criterion, Sharpe ratio, and a month-by-month trading calendar
Next Steps
Once you’re comfortable with the basics, explore the more advanced modes:
- Simulation Mode — full documentation of all parameters and output tabs
- Eval Mode — model your chances of passing a prop firm evaluation
- Funded Mode — simulate funded account payouts and survival
- Fleet Mode — model multi-account prop firm strategies