Eval Mode

Eval Mode simulates thousands of attempts at passing a prop firm evaluation. Given your trading statistics and the firm’s rules, it calculates your probability of passing, shows you how and when attempts typically resolve, and helps you find the optimal risk level for getting funded as efficiently as possible.

Supported Rules

• Profit target — the dollar amount you must reach to pass
• Maximum drawdown — trailing or static; the account closes if you breach this floor
• Daily loss limit — an intraday hard stop that ends trading for that day
• Consistency rule — no single day can account for more than a defined percentage of total cycle profit; sims that hit the target but violate this must keep trading until the ratio clears
• Time limit — the maximum number of trading days allowed to pass the evaluation
• Daily profit cap — optional ceiling on how much profit counts per day

Running the Simulation

Configure your trading stats in the Simulation section of the sidebar, then set your firm’s rules in the Prop Firm section. Select Prop Eval mode and click Run Simulation.

The number of simulations run is pulled from the Number of Simulations setting in the Simulation section (default 25,000; max 100,000). Higher counts improve the precision of pass rate estimates but increase computation time. Each simulation plays out a single eval attempt using your win rate, average win, and average loss, stopping when the account hits the profit target, breaches the drawdown floor, hits the time limit, or is otherwise resolved.

Understanding the Results

Top Stats

Four headline figures are shown above the tabs:

• Eval Pass Rate — the percentage of simulations that passed, with a count of passes and failures
• Avg Trades to Pass — average number of trades taken in simulations that passed
• Avg Trades to Fail — average number of trades taken in simulations that failed
• Max Losing Run (99th pct) — the 99th percentile worst consecutive losing streak across all simulations

Prop Eval Tab

Pass / Fail Breakdown

The main panel shows your pass and fail rates as large percentage figures with a progress bar for each. Below them, a stacked bar chart plots the distribution of trade counts at which sims resolved. Passes (green), drawdown failures (red), and time limit expiries (gold) are stacked per trade bucket so you can see exactly when and how attempts are ending.

Per-Attempt Economics

This panel calculates the financial reality of repeatedly attempting the evaluation. It shows:

• Eval cost — the fee per attempt
• Pass rate and fail rate
• Average attempts to pass — the expected number of attempts before a pass (1 divided by pass rate)
• Survive to 1st payout — the probability that a funded account survives long enough to collect a first payout. This is derived from your Funded settings in the Prop Firm section, so make sure those parameters reflect your actual funded account setup for an accurate EV figure
• P(pass) x P(payout) — the combined probability of passing the eval and then collecting a first payout
• 1st payout (median) — pulled from your Funded settings
• Net on pass + payout — the first payout amount minus the eval fee
• Avg cost to get one pass — eval fee divided by pass rate; the expected total spend to achieve a single pass
• EV per attempt — the expected dollar value of each eval attempt, accounting for both the probability of collecting a payout and the cost of failing. A positive EV means the strategy is mathematically profitable per attempt; a negative EV means it costs more in failed attempts than it earns in payouts on average

The “How to read this” box below summarizes the calculation in plain language.

Pass / Fail Timing

Two separate histograms show when passing and failing simulations resolved. The Pass Timing chart shows how quickly passing accounts hit the profit target. A tight, early-skewed distribution means your edge resolves evaluations quickly. The Fail Timing chart breaks failures into drawdown breaches (red) and time limit expiries (gold), stacked per trade bucket. Both charts show cumulative percentage labels in the tooltip so you can see what fraction of all passes or failures had resolved by any given trade.

Equity Curve Sample

A sample of individual equity paths is plotted — passing curves in green and failing curves in red. Curve opacity is scaled by how early the path resolved (earlier = more opaque), so the chart naturally highlights the fastest outcomes. A dashed gold line marks the P25 of all curves combined; paths below this line are in the bottom quartile of outcomes.

You can drag on the chart to zoom into any trade window and click Reset zoom to return to the full view. Hovering shows P10/median/P90 balance at that trade number for both passing and failing curves.

Closest-Call Analysis

Among simulations that failed, this panel shows how far they got before blowing. A high peak profit in failing sims means failures were mostly bad luck after good starts. The edge was there, but variance intervened. A low peak profit suggests the eval is routinely out of reach with your current settings.

• Median Peak Profit — the median highest balance reached before a failed sim blew
• 75th Pct Peak — 75% of failed sims peaked below this amount
• 90th Pct Peak — the highest peaks among failed sims
• Near-Miss Rate — the percentage of failures that reached 75% or more of the profit target before blowing; also shown as a percentage of all simulations

A progress bar illustrates the median failed sim’s peak as a fraction of the profit target.

Drawdown Profile — Passing Sims Only

Among simulations that passed, this panel shows how much of the maximum drawdown limit they actually consumed. A low number means your edge is passing evaluations comfortably. A high number means many passes are surviving by a thin margin.

• Median DD Used — the typical drawdown consumed by a passing sim, as a percentage of the limit
• 75th and 90th percentile DD Used — higher-stress passes
• Sims that touched >50% of DD limit (but still passed) — the proportion of passes that used more than half their drawdown budget

Eval Timeline

Shows the trading day count to resolution, based on your trades-per-day and days-per-week settings:

• Median Pass — how many trading days the typical passing sim takes
• Slow Pass (P90) — 90% of passing sims resolved by this point
• Median Fail — how many trading days the typical failing sim takes before being eliminated

Consistency Rule Impact

Shown only when a consistency rule is enabled. The consistency rule requires that no single day accounts for more than a defined percentage of total profit. A sim that hits the profit target but violates the rule is not a failure — it just has to keep trading until the ratio clears. During that extra period the account remains at risk of a drawdown breach or hitting the time limit.

The panel shows:

• Sims Blocked — percentage of all simulations where the consistency rule prevented an immediate pass
• % of Passing Sims — the fraction of eventual passes that had to keep trading to clear the rule
• Median and worst 10% additional delay — how many extra trading days it took to clear the consistency rule

Sims that cannot clear the rule in time and hit the time limit are counted as time limit failures.

Bold Play

Shown only when Bold Play is enabled. Bold Play is a strategy where, near the time limit, the sim automatically increases risk per trade by a configurable multiplier in an attempt to reach the profit target before time expires.

The panel shows:

• Triggered — the percentage of simulations where the time limit was close enough that bold play activated
• Converted to Pass — of the sims where bold play triggered, the percentage that went on to pass
• Passes via Bold Play — bold play passes as a percentage of all simulations

The First Trade After Trigger breakdown splits triggered sims by whether the first trade at elevated risk was a win or a loss, and shows the resulting pass rate for each group. A large gap between the two rates indicates that a single bad trade at elevated risk can consume too much of the remaining drawdown buffer to recover.

The Drawdown Buffer Remaining at Trigger histogram shows how much drawdown room was left when bold play activated, with pass rates color-coded for each buffer bucket. A bar with a small buffer and a low pass rate indicates that bold play is often triggering too late — not enough room to survive even one loss at the higher risk level.

Early Trade Impact

All simulations are split into four equal groups (quartiles) based on their P&L after the first N trades. The pass rate for each quartile tells you how much early performance predicts the final outcome.

• Q4 (strong start) — the top 25% of early P&L outcomes and their eventual pass rate
• Q3, Q2, Q1 — progressively weaker early starts

The panel also splits sims into those that started positive vs. negative at the early checkpoint and shows the pass rate for each group. A bucket-by-bucket breakdown (in $200 increments of early P&L) shows pass rate and sim count, letting you see the threshold at which early P&L becomes predictive of passing.

Risk Optimizer Tab

The optimizer scans a range of risk-per-trade values and finds the one that minimizes expected days to get funded, subject to a minimum acceptable pass rate floor.

Risk Preference — a 0 to 100 slider that adjusts how the optimizer weights pass rate vs. speed. Lower values favor conservative risk (higher pass rate, slower path to funded). Higher values accept more risk for a faster expected path to funded.

After clicking Run Optimizer, three headline figures appear:

• Optimal Risk / Trade — the risk level that maximizes expected days to funded given your risk preference
• Your Current Risk — your currently configured risk per trade, with the nearest tested level marked on the chart
• Pass Rate Floor — the minimum pass rate the optimizer will accept before disqualifying a risk level

The main chart plots Pass Rate (left axis, green area) and Expected Days to Funded (right axis, gold line) against each tested risk level. Reference lines mark the optimal and current risk levels. A horizontal reference line shows the pass rate floor.

A secondary bar chart shows Failure Type by Risk — the proportion of failures that were drawdown breaches (red) vs. time limit expiries (gold) at each risk level. As risk increases, drawdown failures typically rise while time expiries fall.

The Full Results Table shows every tested risk level with: pass %, fail %, median days, expected days, and expected cost to get funded (fee x expected attempts).